Companies

Understanding the Investor Interest in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)

Published October 25, 2024

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has garnered significant attention from investors recently, making it a trending topic worth exploring. Understanding the key factors that could shape the company's stock performance in the upcoming period is essential.

The shares of this semiconductor manufacturer have experienced a decline of -3.8% in the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a positive change of +1.4%. Additionally, the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry, which includes Broadcom Inc., has also faced a slight decrease of 1.6% during the same timeframe. This brings us to the crucial question: What does the future hold for this stock?

Typically, stock price movements are influenced by news or speculations regarding significant changes in a company's business outlook. However, it is vital to focus on fundamental data that will guide more profound investment decisions.

Adjustments in Earnings Estimates

At the core of evaluating any stock lies the alterations in earnings estimates, an area that bears considerable importance. The stock's fair value is primarily determined by the anticipated future earnings, and stronger earnings projections often attract investor interest.

We keep a close eye on the updates made by analysts who cover Broadcom as they revise their earnings estimates based on the latest market trends. An increase in these estimates typically translates to a higher fair value for the stock, prompting buying interest and potentially driving up the stock price. Historical data highlights a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price fluctuations.

For the current quarter, Broadcom Inc. is projected to deliver earnings of $1.39 per share, marking a year-over-year increase of +25.2%. In the last month, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has seen a minor upward adjustment of +0.3%.

The earnings estimate for the ongoing fiscal year stands at $4.82, indicating a +14% year-over-year growth, with a slight adjustment of +0.1% over the last 30 days.

Looking ahead to next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is at $6.13, suggesting an impressive growth of +27.1% compared to the preceding year, with a +0.6% revision in the past month.

Broadcom's credibility is reinforced by its historically solid performance, leading to a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), signifying a forecast of potential outperformance relative to the broader market.

Projected Revenue Growth

While earnings growth serves as a crucial indicator of a company's financial wellbeing, sustained revenue growth is equally necessary. It is challenging for a company to maintain earnings growth without the corresponding increase in revenue over time.

For Broadcom Inc., the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $14.06 billion, a year-over-year growth of +51.3%. Projections for the current and the upcoming fiscal years estimate revenues at $51.58 billion and $60.19 billion, reflecting growth rates of +44% and +16.7%, respectively.

Performance Overview and Surprise History

In its most recent quarterly report, Broadcom Inc. recorded revenues of $13.07 billion, showcasing an annual growth rate of +47.3%. Additionally, the EPS (earnings per share) was reported at $1.24, compared to $1.05 from the same period last year.

Notably, the revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.9 billion, resulting in a positive revenue surprise of +1.31%. The EPS also surpassed expectations by +3.33%.

Broadcom has consistently outperformed consensus EPS and revenue expectations for the past four quarters, signaling its robust financial performance.

Evaluating Valuation

When making investment decisions, understanding a stock's valuation is paramount. This involves assessing whether the current market price accurately reflects the company's intrinsic value and growth prospects.

Analyzing various valuation metrics, including price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), can offer insights on whether a stock is currently overvalued, undervalued, or appropriately valued in comparison to historical performance or peer groups.

Broadcom Inc. has received an 'F' grade for valuation under the Zacks Value Style Score. This suggests that the stock may be trading at a premium compared to its peers.

Conclusion

The information highlighted in this analysis provides valuable insights into whether Broadcom Inc. is a stock worth considering amidst the current market chatter. Its Zacks Rank #2 indicates a possibility of favorable performance in the near term, making it a stock to watch closely.

Broadcom, Earnings, Stocks