Bonds

Indian Sovereign Bonds Set for Upward Trajectory Following Index Inclusion

Published January 4, 2024

Following a commendable performance in the past year, Indian sovereign bonds find themselves on the cusp of further appreciation. Registering their strongest annual gain since 2020, Indian bonds are attracting attention as they stand to benefit from their anticipated inclusion in a major global bond index. This event, expected to draw significant foreign investment into the country's debt market, has market participants poised for potential growth opportunities.

Revival of Indian Sovereign Bonds

The resurgence of investor interest is manifested in the falling yield of the benchmark 10-year sovereign bond, which saw a drop of 15 basis points last year. This decline marked the most substantial annual decrease in interest rates since three years prior, underscoring a renewed confidence in the Indian bond market. Experts believe that this positive trajectory is set to continue, buoyed by the prospect of large-scale foreign capital inflows.

Global Index Inclusion as a Catalyst

The inclusion of Indian sovereign bonds in a major global bond index heralds a significant shift. Historically, foreign investments in Indian bonds have been proportionately modest. However, this inclusion is predicted to change the landscape, positioning Indian bonds as an attractive option for international investors seeking diversification and potential returns in emerging markets. The anticipation of enhanced liquidity and greater accessibility is likely to enhance the appeal of these investment vehicles significantly.

sovereign, bonds, index