Stocks

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Hit Record Highs Amidst Concerns Over Wavering Market Strength

Published January 20, 2024

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have recently rallied to unprecedented levels, generating considerable excitement among investors, the celebration could be premature. Keen market observers have noted that the underlying health of the market may not be as robust as the headline-grabbing index numbers suggest. Despite the impressive performance of these indices, which include the largest and most influential companies in the US, such as AAPL for Apple Inc., AMZN for Amazon.com Inc., and MSFT for Microsoft Corporation, the broader market supports these gains half-heartedly.

Scrutinizing Market Breadth and Internals

The concern comes from taking a closer look at market internals, or the 'breadth' measures of the market. These indicators provide an insight into how widespread participation in the rally is among stocks. A narrow market breadth, where only a few stocks are driving the entire index upwards, raises concerns about the sustainability of the rally. Analysts closely monitor metrics such as the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus those at 52-week lows, advanced-decline lines, and cumulative volume data to gauge the market's health. The lackluster performance in these areas suggests that despite the high-flying indices, the overall market resilience is questionable,weak, at best.

The Disparity in Market Performance

While stocks like GOOGL for Alphabet Inc. and FB for Facebook, now Meta Platforms Inc., continue to exhibit strong individual performance, they mask the struggles of smaller and less prominent companies. This skewed representation creates a discrepancy between the perception of a robust market and the reality of an uneven recovery across the stock spectrum. Investors are thus advised to proceed with caution, keeping a close eye on market internals as they may offer a more nuanced picture of market conditions beyond the gleaming surface of index milestones.

markets, analysis, stocks