Markets

Asian Shares Decline Following Trump's Presidential Win and Focus on Federal Reserve

Published November 7, 2024

Asian shares experienced a decline on Thursday after U.S. stocks reached record highs. Investors are evaluating the implications of Donald Trump’s return to the White House for global economic dynamics.

Market attention is also shifting towards the Federal Reserve, which is expected to announce its interest rate decision later today.

The Nikkei 225 index in Japan fell by 0.6% to 39,246.86, while the Kospi index in South Korea decreased by 0.4% to 2,554.57. Additionally, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 saw a slight drop of 0.1%, settling at 8,191.00.

Chinese markets also faced setbacks, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng index declining by 0.7% to 20,386.36, and the Shanghai Composite index lowering by 0.7% to 3,359.99.

Trump's administration has indicated it may implement significant tariffs on Chinese imports, potentially up to 60%. This move raises concerns about economic tensions, particularly regarding China's economic recovery, which is already facing challenges.

Investors are contemplating the effects of Trump's proposed policies, such as increased tariffs and reduced regulatory frameworks, on the economy. These factors could strain China's struggling growth, especially with trade tensions potentially leading to broader disruptions.

On Wednesday, in the U.S. stock market, notable increases were observed in companies like Tesla and sectors like banking and cryptocurrency, all reacting positively to Trump's election win. However, sectors tied to renewable energy and those sensitive to inflation fears were noted as potential losers.

In the U.S., the S&P 500 surged by 2.5% to 5,929.04, marking its best performance in nearly two years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 3.6% to 43,729.93, while the Nasdaq composite rose by 3% to 18,983.47. All major indices set new record highs following the election results.

The actual economic impact of Trump's presidency will largely depend on the political landscape in Congress. Currently, it remains uncertain how his party's control will shape future policies.

Trump’s approach to economic policies is expected to bolster growth, which may have repercussions on treasury yields. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 4.43%, indicating significant movements in the bond market.

Market participants anticipate that Trump's policies, particularly on tariffs, could spur inflation, thereby impacting household expenses. Additionally, cuts in immigration could lead to labor shortages, forcing companies to increase wages and consequently elevate prices.

Much of the stock market's success can be attributed to expectations of upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. These cuts could support economic growth but might also stoke inflation concerns.

Later today, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce its interest rate decision, with predictions leaning towards a potential cut. However, traders are gradually adjusting their expectations regarding the number of rate reductions anticipated through the middle of next year.

In other early activities, the U.S. dollar remained stable against the Japanese yen at 154.63, while the euro slightly dipped to $1.0728.

U.S. benchmark crude oil prices saw a modest increase, rising by 2 cents to $71.71 per barrel. Internationally, Brent crude advanced by 24 cents to $75.16.

In cryptocurrency, Bitcoin prices retreated to $76,165 after hitting a record high just above $76,480 the previous day. Trump’s supportive stance on cryptocurrency has fueled investments and speculation in this sector.

In conclusion, Asian markets are responding to global shifts influenced by ongoing political changes in the U.S. and upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.

stocks, market, Trump