Crypto

Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin?

Published December 12, 2024

Bitcoin (BTC) has had an incredible month. In the last 30 days, this leading cryptocurrency has skyrocketed over 35%, breaking through the much-awaited $100,000 mark. Many investors who have been in the Bitcoin space for a long time likely find this achievement rewarding. Meanwhile, new potential investors may feel a tinge of FOMO, or fear of missing out. If you’re one of those newcomers, you’ll be glad to hear that it is likely not too late to invest in Bitcoin; however, there are a few key points to keep in mind.

The case for Bitcoin's continued growth

You may think there’s not much more room for Bitcoin to grow now that it has reached $100,000. However, past trends provide a different perspective. Bitcoin has a cyclical nature and follows a four-year pattern closely linked to its halving events. The halving events reduce the inflation rate of Bitcoin by halving the rewards given to miners, and these changes have historically been significant triggers for price increases.

Currently, we are in the third year of this halving cycle, which is the year of the halving itself. Historically, this year serves as a precursor for Bitcoin’s strongest price gains, which typically happen in the year that follows the halving.

It might be hard to believe that Bitcoin can follow a defined pattern, but recent years reflect this cycle accurately. After a tough bear market in 2022, investors began accumulating Bitcoins in 2023. Now, in the halving year of 2024, we see significant gains in the market, with potentially even greater price increases anticipated in 2025. A look at the numbers will reveal a clear pattern.

Why patience is key

While 2025 may bring notable benefits, newcomers should realize that the best buying opportunities often present themselves during the early and quieter phases of its cycles.

Current price levels suggest that we may be nearer to the peak of this bull market than at its start. Following historical trends, a bear market is likely to follow, with prices possibly dropping by 70% to 80% from their peaks.

This natural volatility makes short-term investment strategies particularly risky for new investors. Buying during high speculation phases can often lead to panic selling during the inevitable corrections.

To manage these risks, it’s critical to approach Bitcoin with a long-term mindset. If you decide to purchase, plan to hold it through at least one full halving cycle.

Data indicates that any Bitcoin held for a minimum of six years has never shown less than a 22% return, with many cases exceeding that figure. This success results largely from the predictable impacts of Bitcoin’s halving cycles. The more halving cycles you endure, the higher your chances of reaping benefits from the compound reductions in supply. In essence, rather than chasing quick profits, concentrate on consistent accumulation and long-term holding, as this strategy has proven to be more effective.

Bitcoin's unique long-term potential

So, is it too late to buy Bitcoin? Certainly not. However, if you are seeking quick returns, you should look elsewhere, as the days of massive, life-changing profits in just weeks likely belong to the past. When we take a broader view, it becomes clear that Bitcoin’s most promising days are still to come.

Investing in Bitcoin for the long haul means putting your money into a distinct asset. With a maximum supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin is inherently deflationary, unlike fiat currencies that can be printed endlessly.

Additionally, Bitcoin’s decentralized network and exceptional security provide it with a remarkable edge as a store of value in our increasingly digital environment. These characteristics might lead to rising demand from businesses, financial institutions, and even governments in the future, turning Bitcoin into a core asset in global investment portfolios.

What to do now

If you are looking to invest in Bitcoin, adopt a long-term holding strategy. Consider consistent investment methods, like dollar-cost averaging, and aim to buy during the earlier phases of its cycles rather than at speculative highs.

Ultimately, the investment journey in Bitcoin is as vital as its outcome. For Bitcoin, the ultimate potential—as a revolutionary financial asset—lies ahead. By focusing on patience, discipline, and understanding the asset’s unique character, you position yourself well to gain from its long-term growth rather than merely seeking short-term rewards.

Bitcoin, Investment, Growth