Stocks

Comparing AI Stocks: Broadcom vs. Nvidia

Published December 23, 2024

The artificial intelligence (AI) sector is experiencing rapid growth, with many companies seeing significant increases in sales and earnings while delivering value to their shareholders. Two prominent players making strides in the AI market are Broadcom (AVGO) and Nvidia (NVDA).

Both companies have unique strengths, but when it comes to investing, which AI stock is the better option? Let's dive deeper into each company to assess their potential.

The Case for Broadcom

Broadcom specializes in creating application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) that are crucial for data centers, enabling major tech firms to leverage generative AI technologies. According to CEO Hock Tan, Broadcom is currently developing AI chips for three major clients, each expected to deploy a million chips by 2027.

Notably, a recent report indicates that OpenAI, the organization behind ChatGPT, is collaborating with Broadcom to design its own AI chips in-house.

This growing demand comes amid Broadcom's already impressive performance in AI. The company's AI revenue surged by a staggering 220% to reach $12.2 billion in 2024. Looking ahead, Tan highlighted potential market opportunities ranging between $60 billion and $90 billion for Broadcom’s AI chips and networking infrastructure by fiscal year 2027.

While such forecasts might seem ambitious, AI spending is undeniably escalating, with Goldman Sachs predicting that tech companies will allocate over $1 trillion to develop AI infrastructure in the coming years.

The Case for Nvidia

Nvidia has emerged as a leading stock in the AI sector, primarily due to its dominance in the semiconductor industry. The company’s graphics processing units (GPUs) have long been foundational in data centers, and the demand for these chips has surged as tech companies compete for leadership in generative AI.

Currently, it is estimated that between 70% to 95% of AI data centers utilize Nvidia's GPUs, creating a significant barrier for competitors to overcome.

Nvidia management has consistently worked to preserve this lead by introducing cutting-edge AI hardware, including their Blackwell chips. CFO Colette Kress noted that "every customer is racing to be the first" to implement these chips in their systems.

To back up Kress' claims, Nvidia's impressive third-quarter results (ending October 27) showed a 94% increase in sales, reaching $35.1 billion, coupled with a 103% rise in adjusted earnings per share to $0.81. This remarkable growth was driven by a 112% jump in revenue from data centers, totaling $30.8 billion.

Similar to Broadcom, Nvidia is also benefiting from increased investment in AI infrastructure, with CEO Jensen Huang predicting that total investments could approach $2 trillion within five years.

Conclusion: Choosing the Better AI Stock

When comparing these two companies, it often becomes clear which is the stronger buy. However, in this instance, both Broadcom and Nvidia represent solid long-term investments in AI. They are both positioning themselves to take advantage of burgeoning demand, and their current leads in the industry are promising for future returns.

If forced to choose one for investment right now, I would lean towards Nvidia. Its longstanding leadership in AI chips, combined with a forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 30.3, offers a more attractive valuation compared to Broadcom's forward P/E of 35.3.

It is essential to recognize that despite increasing AI demand, both stocks may experience volatility as some investors look to capitalize on the substantial gains made over recent years.

AI, Stocks, Investing