Stocks

Why Booz Allen Hamilton Stock Is Falling Today

Published January 31, 2025

Defense IT contractor Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) recently reported its earnings for the fiscal third quarter, beating expectations in terms of revenue and earnings per share. However, despite this positive news, the stock has seen a decline of about 6% at the market open, settling down approximately 2.5% by 10:30 a.m. ET.

Signs of Weakness

Booz Allen Hamilton specializes in delivering IT and consulting services to military and government agencies. The stock had been on an upward trend for most of the past year, fueled by a series of robust earnings reports. However, uncertainty surrounding government spending, especially following political events since November, has caused a downward shift.

The recent earnings report showed that Booz Allen earned $1.55 per share on revenue of $2.92 billion, exceeding the analysts' consensus expectation of $1.52 per share on $2.87 billion in sales. Nevertheless, the underlying data suggest mixed trends. One area of concern for investors is the company's staffing levels, which remained flat compared to the previous quarter, marking a slowdown from earlier growth within the fiscal year. Additionally, the book-to-bill ratio, a crucial metric that reflects future business against current billings, stood at a less-than-ideal 0.37x.

Market Outlook

Despite the mixed results, Booz Allen has increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, now forecasting growth between 12% and 13%, whereas previous expectations were set at 11% to 13%. Wall Street's consensus is leaning toward the higher end of this range, anticipating a full-year growth of 13%. The company has also highered the lower end of its forecasts for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and cash flow.

Overall, there is no immediate cause for alarm regarding Booz Allen Hamilton's long-term prospects, as the firm is well-positioned for future growth. However, the current political environment presents a lack of short-term catalysts for defense-oriented stocks and increases uncertainty. Investors looking at Booz Allen Hamilton may find this an opportune time to enter, although it may require some patience to see the benefits.

Booz, Allen, Hamilton