Stocks

Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Sells Off Palantir Stake and Invests in New AI Powerhouse

Published December 19, 2024

Stanley Druckenmiller, the renowned investor at Duquesne Family Office, is making significant adjustments to his portfolio by moving from one leading AI stock to another. Recently, Druckenmiller decided to reduce his holdings in Palantir Technologies, a well-known AI data-mining company, and instead focus on a rapidly growing trillion-dollar AI stock.

The fourth quarter of the year has seen a barrage of important financial updates. November brought several critical earnings reports from major corporations, as well as key election outcomes and economic data that might influence decisions by the nation's central bank.

Among these updates, the most impactful came on November 14, the deadline for large institutional investors to submit their Form 13F filings to the Securities and Exchange Commission. This Form 13F provides transparency on the buying and selling activities of prominent money managers for the preceding quarter, which ended on September 30.

While many notably wealthy investors are closely watched, such as Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway, Stanley Druckenmiller is equally noteworthy. He manages nearly $3 billion in assets at Duquesne Family Office and is known for his diverse investment strategies across various asset types, including stocks, bonds, options, and currencies.

Druckenmiller's Significant Reduction in Palantir Holdings

The trading actions of Druckenmiller are often under scrutiny, particularly his engagement with artificial intelligence stocks. Notably, he has recently made a dramatic shift in his investment in the AI space. He sold off approximately 95% of his shares in Palantir Technologies (PLTR -3.87%). At the start of the last quarter, Druckenmiller held nearly 770,000 shares in Palantir but ended with a mere 41,710 shares.

This massive sell-off can be attributed in part to prudent profit-taking, as Palantir's stock had increased by 335% year-to-date by mid-December. Such a notable gain on an investment, especially one that is so significant, often prompts seasoned investors to cash in some of those profits.

Palantir's stock increase has been largely driven by the company’s recent shift towards more reliable profitability, alongside a heightened demand for its AI platforms, Gotham and Foundry. Gotham is particularly utilized by government agencies for data collection and operational strategies, while Foundry assists businesses in data management.

However, there may be more reasons behind Druckenmiller's decision to cut back on Palantir other than just harvesting gains. Historically speaking, innovations such as artificial intelligence have often faced volatility and required time to stabilize. If an AI market bubble inflates, Palantir could face significant challenges.

Additionally, the market for federal contracts, which is Palantir's primary revenue source, is somewhat limited as it focuses mainly on the U.S. and its allies. Long-term growth potential may be constrained in this area.

Moreover, concerns surrounding Palantir's high valuation persist. Many prominent companies typically peak around 40 times their trailing sales during market booms, while Palantir currently stands at about 69 times its 12-month sales, suggesting it may be overvalued.

Druckenmiller's New Interest in a Trillion-Dollar AI Stock

Despite moving away from Palantir, Druckenmiller hasn’t abandoned the AI sector entirely. During the latest quarter, his fund added 33 new positions, including shares in a freshly minted trillion-dollar company: Broadcom (AVGO -6.91%).

Broadcom has rapidly risen to prominence as it supplies essential networking solutions for AI applications, linking GPUs effectively and reducing latency—which is crucial for AI operations and decision-making.

In its fiscal year ending November 3, Broadcom reported $12.2 billion in AI sales, marking a significant 220% year-on-year growth. Its CEO forecasts that key clients may invest between $60 billion and $90 billion in Broadcom’s specialized AI chips over the next three years, indicating that the company’s expansion in this sector is just beginning.

It’s important to note that Broadcom generates a large portion of its sales from diverse areas beyond AI networking, including wireless chips, cybersecurity solutions, and optical sensors. This diversified approach could enable Broadcom to withstand potential volatility in the AI market better than many specialized AI stocks.

Druckenmiller may also be attracted to Broadcom's strong dividend growth, which has seen a remarkable increase of 8,329% since initiating its quarterly dividend in 2010.

Despite the excitement surrounding Broadcom, there are caveats; the stock currently trades at a significant premium compared to its historical price-to-sales ratio, and its valuation may face scrutiny if growth expectations do not align with current pricing.

In conclusion, while Stanley Druckenmiller is making substantial changes in his investments, the current landscape of AI stocks remains dynamic. Investors may want to watch both the performance and valuation of companies like Palantir and Broadcom in the coming quarters.

investment, AI, stocks